This new market was highly price sensitive, and it was not a market where anyone considered spending $65, $70 and $80 dollars for a bicycle. In 1903 this market was fully developed and in decline. The Hill-Climber, on the other hand, was destined for a different and by now, niche market or certainly one that was rapidly disappearing due to an oversupply in the lower-end market. The advent of the automobile only hastened the decline of the Hill-Climber market.
xxxThe bicycle business in the United States actually started falling in 1897, when A. H. Overmann sold his Overmann Wheel company outright. The American Bicycle Company (ABC) was formed in 1899 by the remaining heavies as a bicycle market trust, in order to gain manufacturing clout. Industry leaders, including Albert A. Pope actually all sold their individual companies, including equipment and factories, to the new ABC. In fact, ABC was trying to prop up the price by refusing to sell to any wholesaler who wouldn’t guarantee some volume at the price they wanted. They assumed the product demand could be maintained, they could squeeze the pipeline and keep the profits high, according to David Herlihey, in Bicycle: The History, [p. 292-294]
xxxWhat ABC failed to do was invest in product development, and reach the next level of consumer demand, which was for a better product – one with a freewheel hub and a multiple-speed gear arrangement to make riding more user friendly. This was where Peter J. Scharbach may have been hoping to enter the market. ABC needed to take the bike from a pleasure craft to a working vehicle, which was all along what most consumers really wanted – something to replace the horse as a mode of daily transportation.
xxxThe ABC Company failed in 1902. Albert Pope then bought back his own plant in 1903, so there was probably still a market, but it was fading rapidly. This should not have gone unnoticed by someone investing in a start-up bicycle business in 1903 in San Francisco and Chicago. If you already had a big plant and a saleable product, you might make it. As a start-up competitor without a fully financed operation, hope and dreams were all you realistically had on your side. |